For sales leaders & reps working a live pipeline

Your pipeline says every dealis fine. One of them is a ghost.

A deterministic, offline grader that scores each open deal on momentum — the way a physicist would read a moving object — and floors the deals that look alive on the board but have quietly stopped moving. It prescribes the one move that changes the read. No forecast, no black box, no probability theater.

Get the Momentum Tripwire — $89one-time · instant download · yours to keep
Five deliverables · runnable
Momentum engine (Python)
runnable
Excel workbook
.xlsx
Deal Momentum Playbook
.docx
Momentum Recovery Runbook
.docx
Seven-deal worked sample
.csv
Works alongside
The Forecast Floor · Pipeline Commander · CRM Win-Back
01.The Problem

“This deal is at risk” is not an instruction.

65%

accuracy of a typical stage-based forecast — it tells you what stage a deal is in, not whether it is moving.

1

single-threaded contact is the strongest predictor of a deal that dies late, after the forecast already counted it.

0

probabilities invented. Every read is arithmetic on numbers you entered — nothing modeled, nothing guessed.

Dashboards show you what is happening. They do not tell you what to do about it, and they let a dead deal sit green on the board because it is still “in stage.” This tool reads each deal like a physical system — momentum, friction, decay — and returns a verdict plus the single cheapest move that changes it.

02.See It Work

Grade a deal. Watch the gate do its job.

Drag the inputs. Notice that a deal can score in the STALLING band and still read DEAD WEIGHT — because it is single-threaded and has outlived its stage. Add a second stakeholder and it releases. That gate is the whole point.

Momentum score57/100
DEAD WEIGHT— floored by the ghost-deal gate (1 contact, stage age 1.70× your median)

Next action: Multi-thread now: earn a second buy-side contact this week, OR advance/disqualify at your next stage gate. One-contact deals that have outlived their stage do not close.

Evaluated as of 2026-07-14 · deterministic · your numbers only · scores no person

03.The Runnable Engine

One command grades your whole pipeline.

Point the zero-dependency Python engine at a CSV of your open deals. It grades each one, floors the ghosts, and rolls the pipeline up to its worst deal. This is the verbatim output on the shipped seven-deal sample:

DEAL MOMENTUM TRIPWIRE  ·  evaluated as of 2026-07-14
==================================================================

Acme Robotics - Platform  —  score 100/100  →  ACCELERATING
    stakeholders 4 lvl · response 100% · stage-age 100% · touch 2d (100%) · activity 100%
    → Keep the cadence; protect the next scheduled step.

Northwind Logistics - Renewal  —  score 64/100  →  STALLING
    stakeholders 3 lvl · response 50% · stage-age 50% · touch 6d (75%) · activity 75%
    → Keep the cadence; protect the next scheduled step.

Beacon Health - Expansion  —  score 57/100  →  DEAD WEIGHT  «GATE: ghost deal»
    stakeholders 1 lvl · response 75% · stage-age 25% · touch 2d (100%) · activity 75%
    single-threaded AND stage age 1.70x your median (> 1.5x) — verdict floored to DEAD WEIGHT
    → Multi-thread now: earn a second buy-side contact this week, OR advance/disqualify at your next stage gate. One-contact deals that have outlived their stage do not close.

Beacon Health - Expansion (twin: 2 threads)  —  score 63/100  →  STALLING
    stakeholders 2 lvl · response 75% · stage-age 25% · touch 2d (100%) · activity 75%
    → Force a stage decision: set an explicit next-step date with the buyer, or move the deal back a stage.

Cirrus Manufacturing - New  —  score 22/100  →  DEAD WEIGHT
    stakeholders 2 lvl · response 25% · stage-age 0% · touch 16d (25%) · activity 0%
    → Force a stage decision: set an explicit next-step date with the buyer, or move the deal back a stage.

Delta Freight - Upsell  —  score 89/100  →  ACCELERATING
    stakeholders 3 lvl · response 75% · stage-age 100% · touch 1d (100%) · activity 100%
    → Keep the cadence; protect the next scheduled step.

Everline Retail - Pilot  —  score 41/100  →  DEAD WEIGHT
    stakeholders 1 lvl · response 0% · stage-age 100% · touch 12d (50%) · activity 25%
    → Multi-thread: identify and touch a second stakeholder before the next step.

==================================================================
PIPELINE ROLLUP:  GHOST PIPELINE   (worst deal: Beacon Health - Expansion — DEAD WEIGHT)
This tool grades a deal's momentum from your own numbers. It scores no person.
04.The Standard

Three rules the whole tool obeys.

Momentum, not a moment

Five weighted signals — stakeholder coverage, response latency, stage age vs. your own median, days since the last touch, activity direction — combine into a 0–100 score. The trend is the read, not any single field.

A gate that does distinct work

Single-threaded AND past your stage window floors a deal to DEAD WEIGHT no matter how good the points look. In the sample, a 57 (STALLING) reads DEAD WEIGHT; its twin with a second thread releases. One trigger flips the verdict; clearing it releases.

A move, not a warning

Every deal ends with the single cheapest action that changes its read — multi-thread, force a stage decision, re-engage with a dated step. It tells you what to do, not just that something is wrong.

05.What This Is — And Isn't

An honest read, not a prediction.

What it is
  • A deterministic grader you run on your own deal numbers, offline.
  • A verdict per deal, a next action, and a worst-first pipeline rollup.
  • A gate that floors ghost deals the forecast would still count.
  • Reproducible: engine, workbook, and demo compute identical results.
What it isn't
  • Not a forecast and not a close-probability — it models no outcome.
  • Not a claim that a specific email at a specific time lifts your odds by X%.
  • Not a rep scorecard — it grades a deal's momentum, never a person.
  • Not connected to your CRM — it reads a file you export, nothing live.

A sales-judgment triage aid. It grades a deal's momentum from numbers you confirm and names a next action; the decision to act is yours. It scores no individual and makes no employment, performance, or compensation determination.

06.Who It's For

Anyone accountable for a number.

  • Reps who want the next move on a deal, not another risk badge.
  • Sales managers running deal reviews who need to spot the ghost before the commit call.
  • RevOps tired of dashboards that describe risk but prescribe nothing.
  • Founders selling their own pipeline who need a defensible read, fast.
08.Common Questions

The things people ask first.

No. It grades a deal's momentum from numbers you enter — stakeholder coverage, response latency, stage age against your own median, days since the last touch, and activity direction. It returns a verdict and a next action, not a close-probability. Any tool claiming to predict a percentage lift from one email at one time is selling you precision it cannot defend. This one shows its arithmetic and prescribes the cheapest move that changes the read.

Stop forecasting ghosts.
Grade what's really moving.

One purchase, lifetime access, 12 months of updates. $89, once.

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