For founders & operators

Know how many monthsyou actually have.

Your bank balance feels fine — $640K sounds like plenty. But that’s thirteen months of runway or four, depending entirely on your burn. Cash-Flow Sentinel grades your cash on runway and trajectory, returns an honest verdict — HEALTHY, TIGHT, AT RISK, or CRITICAL — and names the fix. A static runway number lies when burn is climbing. Read-only — you make the calls.

Get the System — $249one-time · instant download · yours to keep
Six deliverables · reads your numbers
Cash / runway engine
python
Four Claude Skills
skills
Runway workbook
xlsx
Cash-position template
template
Reading Your Runway
docx
Connecting Your Numbers & the Method
docx
Works alongside
Forecast Floor · Operating Cadence · Pipeline Commander
01.The Problem

Your bank balance feels fine. Your runway might not be.

The balance lies

$640K feels like plenty. But $640K is thirteen months of runway or four, depending entirely on your burn — and the balance in the bank never tells you which one you're living in.

Burn creeps up

Headcount, tools, a few one-off months — burn climbs quietly. The static runway number you checked last quarter is optimistic the moment burn starts accelerating, and nobody re-checks it in time.

You find out too late

By the time the balance looks scary, you're months into the problem with fewer options. A CFO catches it when the trajectory turns — not when the cash is nearly gone.

02.See It Work

Set this month's spend — and watch an 8-month runway fall out of “fine.”

This is the read, live. $640K in the bank, burn ran $50K/mo. Push this month's spend up and the runway shrinks while the trajectory turns — at $80K/mo the 8-month runway is bumped to AT RISK because burn is accelerating. Cut it back toward $50K and it returns to HEALTHY. Same math as the engine and workbook.

Cash read · live demo

$640K in the bank. Set June’s spend — and watch an 8-month runway fall out of “fine.”

Verdict

AT RISK

Under 6 months, or burn is accelerating. Cut burn or extend runway before it's critical.

runway 8.0 mo · burn $80K/mo (trailing avg $50K/mo) · accelerating ← bumped one level worse

June spend

revenue fixed at $72K · net burn $80K/mo

$152K
March
burn $50K
April
burn $50K
May
burn $50K
June
burn $80K

The fix: at your trailing-average burn ($50K/mo) you’d have 12.8 months. Hold monthly burn at or below $53K to restore a healthy 12-month runway; below $107K to clear the 6-month risk line.

Burn is accelerating — the runway number above is optimistic. Stop the climb first.

The trajectory gate is the point: at $80K/mo the 8-month runway is bumped to AT RISK because burn is accelerating — a static runway number lies when burn is climbing. Cut June back toward $50K/mo of burn and it returns to HEALTHY. Same math as the engine and workbook. It reads and computes; you make the calls.

03.What's Inside

Compute the runway. Grade it honestly. Know the fix.

01.Analyze

The burn-rate-analyst pulls your recent months and computes net burn, the current rate versus the trailing average, revenue coverage, and runway — normalizing one-off spikes (a tax payment, an annual renewal) so the burn figure is representative, not a lumpy month masquerading as your run rate.

02.Grade

The runway-grader applies the floors and the trajectory gate to return the verdict: HEALTHY, TIGHT, AT RISK, or CRITICAL. It won't call an 8-month runway fine when burn jumped 60% last month — a comfortable balance doesn't change the months left.

03.Plan

The scenario-planner turns the verdict into levers: the monthly burn that restores a healthy runway, how many months a cut or a raise buys, and the path to default-alive — tied to your current burn so the gap is concrete.

04.Track

The cash-tracker logs each month, reports whether burn and runway are trending the right way, and produces the one-line cash status for your operating report — so a slow bleed shows up before it's an emergency.

Plus a runnable Python engine with the worked sample, a spreadsheet that reproduces the same runway and verdict, the cash-position one-pager template, and two playbooks — reading your runway, and connecting your numbers plus the anti-happy-ears method.

04.The Standard

Three rules a CFO holds to.

Runway, not the balance

The verdict is the months you have at the real burn rate, not how big the number in the bank looks. The same $640K is thirteen months or four depending entirely on burn — the balance is the number that makes founders complacent.

The two gates

Under three months of runway is CRITICAL no matter the trajectory — the non-negotiable. And accelerating burn bumps the verdict one level worse, because a static runway number is optimistic while burn is climbing.

Reads + computes; you make the calls

It reads your numbers and delivers the read to you — it never moves money, pays a bill, edits your books, or transacts. It models the scenarios and the burn targets; you decide and execute. Not financial advice.

05.What This Is — And Isn't

A CFO cash read — clear about its limits.

What it is
  • A cash read that grades runway and trajectory and returns an honest verdict with the concrete fix.
  • The read — Skills, the engine, a workbook, a template, and playbooks — on top of your own numbers and AI tool, on the open Skills standard.
  • Built to see past a comfortable bank balance and catch the runway turning before it's an emergency.
What it isn't
  • Not accounting software and not a bank — it reads your numbers read-only and never moves money, pays a bill, or edits your books.
  • Not financial, accounting, investment, or tax advice — a runway call, a raise, or a cost cut carries consequences only you own.
  • Not a guesser — it never invents numbers, and it flags lumpy months so you use a representative burn.
06.Who It's For

Built for the founder whose survival runs on cash.

A fit if you're…
  • A founder or operator whose survival depends on cash — and who wants the truth about how many months you have.
  • Tired of a comfortable-looking balance that hides a shrinking runway, and want the trajectory caught early.
  • Willing to connect your numbers, normalize the lumpy months, and act on the burn targets.
Not a fit if you…
  • Read the bank balance, feel fine, and would rather not know the runway.
  • Won't connect your numbers, or won't normalize a one-off month when it flatters the figure.
  • Want something to manage the money for you — it tells you the read; you make the calls.
08.Common Questions

The honest answers, before you buy.

Your own numbers: recent monthly revenue and expenses (a few months is enough), plus your cash on hand. You can paste them in, point a Claude Skill at an exported CSV, or wire your accounting tool in — Cash-Flow Sentinel is the read-and-grade layer on top, and it never includes or resells your data. It reads the numbers you connect and never invents any. The included sample ledger and workbook show the exact shape it expects.

Stop trusting the balance.
Know your runway.

One purchase, lifetime access, 12 months of updates. $249, once. Connect your numbers and see the runway honestly.

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